Advantage bettors shouldn’t shy away from this form of exotic wager completely, in part because many available prop bets are based on facts that can be inferred from past experience and in-game circumstances. The trick with Super Bowl proposition wagers is to find the few available bets where you have an advantage and avoid the ones that are based more on random chance. There's money to be made if the final score is one never recorded in NFL history, Visit the site commonly called a Scorigami, with Barstool Sportsbook offering +1400 odds for that to happen. This principle can be applied if you have a projection model, like the Slingshot model for predicting NCAA men’s basketball tournament upsets. Slingshot gives a percentage chance of an upset happening. That percentage can be compared to moneyline odds, once you convert the odds to a percentage. If the model thinks the odds are significantly better than what the bet is offering, and you trust the model, this can be a useful tool in whether to decide to place a bet or not.